Sunday, January 9, 2011

Are Chelsea, Tottenham Out?

The main point is: Is Chelsea Out? For Tottenham, it's a familiar situation. They are in the Champions League places, close enough to the top, but, perhaps, lack enough quality to seriously challenge for title. Also, they do have a game out of hand, essentially leaving them 11 points back. Will United even drop that many points? Spurs will not finish out perfect so do the Red Devils need to lose 5? They dropped 16 points in the first half of the campaign, and have only dropped 6 since October 16th. A key match for both Spurs and United comes at the weekend when Man U travels to the lane. A Spurs win would see them creep to within five, leaving Arsenal a point back, Chelsea six back and Man City actually would surpass United but an extra game would mean they actually would be two back. United's game in hand, however, should give them three points of comfort. Clearly, Arsenal's four (or even seven) points back and City's five or eight are surmountable challenges but can Chelsea come back from nine to twelve points back. I think that Spurs and Chelsea are gone if United wins at the lane but let's look at the situation if Spurs pull the upset. 8 points back, Spurs would need three losses, or four draws. The most realistic way this will come is away, so key matches are at Chelsea, Liverpool, Newcastle, and Arsenal, along with the hosting of Chelsea. However, I only see nine points being dropped here at most so United will need some odd draws. 11 points to be dropped, tops, so Spurs better do well. Lets look at their important matches. Arsenal, at Man City, and at Chelsea. No losses, a few draws, and wins in other games seems ridiculously unlikely. Chelsea has an even more difficult schedule and one less point.

So, maybe, it is a three-horse race.

No comments:

Post a Comment